Critics often argue that religion causes wars and thus human suffering. But does history support this, or not? Here I examine the most well-researched facts I could find.
It is obvious that many factors lead to wars, and thus testing the claim that religion causes wars is difficult. Here is a summary of the best studies I could find:
Researchers from the Department of Peace Studies, University of Bradford were commissioned by the BBC to summarise the historical evidence. Their findings were published in God and War: an Audit & an Exploration (2003).
The audit considers 73 major wars in the past 3 millennia, 32 of which took place in the twentieth century. It tests whether religion had a part in causing each war by examining factors such as support for the war by religious leaders and the use of religious motivation by political leaders. This is the most thorough and expert assessment I could find. Its assessments are subjective but the results are clear, and perhaps surprising:
The study concludes:
this study has concluded that very few if any wars in the past 100 years have been purely religious wars. ..... Despite the negativity around the role of religion in violent conflict, this study has demonstrated that the picture is much more complicated.
Matthew White has done an assessment of killings from wars and genocide (not exactly the same question as we are considering, but related). I don't know anything about Matthew, but while he hasn't documented his information as well as the above study, he appears to be a fair minded atheist whose conclusions are worth considering.
If we take only those events that can be classed as wars (not an easy distinction to draw - I have included the crusades and several civil wars), his figures show that christianity is culpable in 3 major wars in which about 10 million people died, non-christian belief systems (Nazism and Communism) are culpable in 2 wars in which 45 million people died, and a further 6 wars in which about 40 million people died have unclear culpability.
It seems to me that his figures over-simplify culpability, and he certainly considers far fewer wars than the previous study does, but his conclusions are not all that different to the above study: wars can be caused by religion, irreligion, or by forces where religion is irrelevant, but the worst wars (in terms of deaths) have not been caused by religion.
Many modern assessments of the causes of war address mainly political factors, and hardly mention religion at all:
Meic Pearse, in The Gods of War: Is Religion the Primary Cause of Violent Conflict? argues that:
A study of the psychology of religion and violence, Effect of Scriptural Violence on Aggression concluded that focusing on violent sections of religious scriptures can increase a person's willingness to participate in violence: "People who believe that God sanctions violence are more likely than others to behave aggressively themselves."
Studies of terrorism also show that religion is not a major cause, though it can strengthen resolve to commit an act of terrorism for political reasons or a sense of injustice - see Does religion cause terrorism?
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